Inflation has now stayed within the central bank’s 1.5–3.5% target for two months, prompting analysts to expect a rate cut next week.
Inflation has now stayed within the central bank’s 1.5–3.5% target for two months, prompting analysts to expect a rate cut next week.
Alicja Ptak
Once one of Europe’s poorest states, Poland is now on track to match Spain and Italy.
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Poland’s seasonally adjusted GDP in Q4 of 2022 fell by 2.4% from the previous quarter, compared to a drop of 0.1% for the EU as a whole.
Analysts believe the figures mean inflation has peaked this year, but warn that it will rise again early next year.
But Poland must support the learning of Polish, ensure access to the housing market, and help refugees find work matching their skills and qualifications.
“Our analysis shows that the retail trade in Poland has enormous potential,” says Woolworth Polska’s CEO.
But experts warn that soaring inflation, including rapidly rising energy prices, and the refugee crisis could see poverty rise again this year.
“Polish institutions and companies can share their experience with Ukraine,” writes Pekao bank.
The total value of new mortgages has also fallen by 73% year on year, according to data from the Credit Information Bureau (BIK).
“Ouch,” said analysts at mBank, commenting on inflation figures that exceeded most forecasts.
Adam Glapiński received the backing of the ruling party but the opposition has questioned whether he is legally entitled to another term.
Poland has overtaken Portugal on Eurostat’s measure of GDP per capita taking account of purchasing power standards.
But it will also have the EU’s joint third highest GDP growth, according to new forecasts from the European Commission.
Unemployment in Poland was 2.9% in December 2021.